Options for making responsive future strategy to foster sustainability transitions in the German agri-food sector: a Delphi-based approach

European Journal of Futures Research

Table 1 Desirability and probability discrepancies and main risks for sustainability

No.	Desirability	Probability	Identified risks
6 (n = 24)	4.08	2.12	1. Intensification of soil management
6 (n = 24)	4.08	2.12	2. Increased food prices due to costly production
13 (n = 24)	2.12	3.54	1. Disappearance of small and medium-sized market participants
13 (n = 24)	2.12	3.54	2. Intensification of transport and logistics can create new environmental problems
15 (n = 17)	1.82	3.35	1. Influence and monitoring through external third parties
15 (n = 17)	1.82	3.35	2. Social risks due to a lack of data security

Results after the second-Delphi round. The number of experts who have evaluated a given statement in the second-Delphi round (n) may differ depending on the statement. Desirability and probability scores show mean scores (compare caption Fig. 2)