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Table 10 Future questions from survey questionnaire (translated from Finnish)

From: Farmers’ futures: an application of the Delphi method in the context of Finnish agriculture

Variable number

How likely or unlikely do you consider the following future pathways about Finnish agriculture to be? (1 = very unlikely, 2 = somewhat unlikely, 3 = Neither likely nor unlikely, 4 = somewhat likely, 5 = very likely)

Mean

Std. Dev

Var1

Climate change will have a significant effect on agriculture in Finland

3.59

0.926

Var2

Farm size will continue to grow

4.23

0.797

Var3

Number of farms will decrease

4.46

0.792

Var4

Advances in technology will solve problems

3.20

1.047

Var5

Automatization will increase

4.10

0.781

Var6

Corporations will buy and farm agricultural land

2.90

1.157

Var7

Ownership of land and work will differentiate

3.39

0.995

Var8

Appreciation for Finnish food will increase

3.64

1.033

Var9

Domestic production considered highly sanitary will become a driver for exports

3.76

1.038

Var10

Finnish food will be exported

3.75

0.958

Var11

Politics will have a great influence on production

4.28

0.818

Var12

Nutrient recycling will become more common

3.90

0.788

Var13

Renewable energy will be used

3.99

0.764

Var14

Local food will become popular

3.79

0.906

Var15

Companies and cooperatives will replace family farms

3.25

1.029

Var16

Finnish production will decrease significantly

3.11

1.109

Var17

Farm activities will be highly optimized

3.36

0.923

Var18

Cultivated areas for barley and oats will remain as they are

3.17

0.921

Var19

Special crops will be cultivated more than currently

3.68

0.863

Var20

Organic farming will increase

3.29

1.022

Var21

Agriculture will remain as it is

2.28

0.999

Var22

Migration to the countryside will increase

2.32

1.057

Var23

Availability for agricultural land will get easier

2.61

1.098

Var24

Self-sufficiency of agricultural products in Finland will decrease

3.51

1.078

Var25

Innovations will be adopted

4.01

0.796

Var26

Yields will increase

3.38

0.913

Var27

Unproductive farming aiming to collect subsidies will increase

3.23

1.108

Var28

Part-time farming will increase

3.74

1.064

Var29

Costs of production will increase

4.25

0.777

Var30

Agricultural subsidies will become smaller

4.09

0.984

Var31

Agricultural subsidies will be brought to an end

2.78

1.169

Var32

Agricultural legislation will tighten

3.92

0.937

Var33

Small farms will preserve their vitality through specialization

3.11

1.162

Var34

Farmers’ workload will get lighter

1.89

0.956