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Table 4 Top ten ARTs with highest anticipated value

From: Radical Technology Inquirer: a methodology for holistic, transparent and participatory technology foresight

 

Maturity

Passanger transport

Logistics

Manufacturing of goods

Sustenance

Energy supply

Production materials

Built environment

Exchange

Remote impact

Automation of work

Work and income

Neural networks and deep learning

5

10

10

5

10

3

3

5

10

5

20

20

Autonomous cars and trucks

5

20

20

0

3

5

0

10

10

5

10

5

Environment scanning and positioning

7

20

20

3

3

0

0

3

0

5

10

3

AI performing local work on global basis

4

10

10

5

5

0

3

3

10

20

5

5

DNA reading and writing (full genome)

7

1

3

0

20

0

10

0

3

3

0

0

Rapid development of photovoltaics

7

5

5

10

5

20

5

10

1

3

3

3

Commercial platforms for sharing economy

6

10

5

0

5

0

0

5

10

20

3

10

Speech recognition/synthesis and interpreting

6

3

3

0

3

0

0

3

10

5

5

10

Real time 3D modelling of environment

6

20

20

10

5

0

0

5

0

1

5

0

Material scanner — hyperspectral camera

5

5

10

5

10

0

5

5

5

5

5

3

 

Health care

Redressing disabilities

Aquiring information

Proficiency and its proof

Producing experiences

Safety and security

Collaboration and trust

Existential meaning

Power structures

Sum of potential GVN impacts

Anticipated total value

(Sum GVN × Maturity)

Neural networks and deep learning

10

5

20

10

10

5

5

5

20

191

955

Autonomous cars and trucks

0

10

5

0

5

20

3

3

0

134

670

Environment scanning and positioning

0

3

10

3

5

5

0

0

0

93

651

AI performing local work on global basis

10

3

5

20

5

5

10

5

20

159

636

DNA reading and writing (full genome)

10

5

20

0

0

10

0

5

0

90

630

Rapid development of photovoltaics

0

0

3

0

0

5

3

3

0

84

588

Commercial platforms for sharing economy

0

3

3

5

3

0

5

5

5

97

582

Speech recognition/synthesis and interpreting

3

10

5

5

5

5

10

5

3

93

558

Real time 3D modelling of environment

0

3

5

0

5

5

0

3

3

90

540

Material scanner — hyperspectral camera

10

3

10

1

0

10

5

1

5

103

515