Table 3 Key cost-effectiveness outputs of losing industry interventions
Scenario | Model 1 | Model 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ratio of interventions mean cost-effectiveness to AGI safety mean cost effectiveness | Confidence that interventions are more cost-effective than AGI safety | Ratio of interventions mean cost-effectiveness to AGI safety mean cost effectiveness | Confidence that interventions are more cost-effective than AGI safety | |
~ 40 millionth dollar to interventions | 20 | 88% | 0.05 | 50% |
~ $40 million average to interventions | 100 | 95% | 0.2 | 76% |
Money to interventions at the margin now | 5000 | 99+% | 20 | 99% |