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Table 2 Cost-effectiveness comparison

From: Long-term cost-effectiveness of interventions for loss of electricity/industry compared to artificial general intelligence safety

Output

5th percentile

95th percentile

Far future potential increase per $ due to loss of industry preparation average over ~ $30 million model 1

4E-13

3E-9

Far future potential increase per $ due to loss of industry preparation average over ~ $50 million model 2

1E-13

8E-12

Far future potential increase per $ AGI safety research at the $3 billion margin (same for both models)

8E-15

5E-12