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Table 3 Age structure, comparison of the official forecasts and simulation in 2025 and 2040

From: How much can societal turning points affect forecasts’ accuracy in Europe? Case of post-communistic transformation in Slovakia and the Czech Republic

 

Simulation, 2025

Official forecast, 2025

Simulation, 2040

Official forecast, 2040

Czech R.

    

 0–14 (%)

17.9

14.9

17.6

12.9

 15–64 (%)

65.6

63.4

65.8

60.3

 65+ (%)

16.4

21.7

16.6

26.8

 80+ (%)

2.8

5.3

3.5

9.3

 Ageing index

91.7

145.6

94.1

208.3

 Mean age

39.6

43.9

40.2

47.0

Slovak R.

    

 0–14 (%)

19.7

14.9

19.5

12.6

 15–64 (%)

65.6

66.0

65.0

62.4

 65+ (%)

14.7

19.0

15.6

25.0

 80+ (%)

2.6

3.7

3.7

7.4

 Ageing index

74.4

127.6

79.8

199.1

 Mean age

37.9

43.9

38.9

46.8

  1. Source: [18, 19], authors’ calculations