Authors (year) | Goal | Methodology | Findings | Important points |
---|---|---|---|---|
Battistella and Toni (2010) [4] | How to organize companies to predict future trends and to identify weak signals | Multiple case study Samples include seven companies in telecommunication field of which five cases conducted foresight and two cases had no foresight | Providing a five-phase model: devising questions, studying, evaluating, devising scenarios and trends, publishing; proposed model is provided along a sample in selected company. | Design of proper and processed study Introducing corporate foresight as a corporate research backup Using foresight to provide new ideas and valuable information on business development Recommendation to separate R&D by companies and equipping organization to corporate foresight tools to address future market development despite of today market Emphasis on the relationship between foresight and R&D and strategy as a process to support strategic decision-making and or innovation and R&D Efforts to provide a desired organizational structure to improve corporate foresight efficiency Making assumption to conduct future surveys and studying causal relations among organizational variables and corporate foresight performance |
Heger and Rohrbeck (2012) [14] | Combining the methods of strategic foresight to identify new businesses | Combining strategic management frameworks and strategic foresight methods as well as designing a format to support discovery of collective businesses; this format is later evaluated in far-distance communication project by the collaboration of experts from university and industry. | A four-phase model with 20 steps: Phases: identifying the features of product, competition analysis, market analysis, financial analysis | How to evaluate new businesses How to use strategic foresight to overcome barriers How to identify new markets Provide a process model with repetitive procedures which improve model reliability |
Andersen and Andersen (2014) [2] | Describing co-evolution of foresight concepts, innovation and innovation policies in past 70Â years | Â | Providing a foresight model, foresight innovation system | Providing a systematic and contributive model, gathering future information smartly, and making mid- to long-term perspectives to decide at the time being and mobilizing all joints actions to improve innovation system performance by the ultimate goal of improving socio economic desired performance |
Hideg et al. (2014) [15] | Introducing interactive foresight concept and process, theoretical considerations, conducting a project on developing foresight process development to shape future-oriented ideas on SMEs economic development in central region of Hungary | Using online networking techniques between stakeholders and SMES in central region of Hungary | Shareholders’ scenarios are shaped by 4 uncertainties and 16 scenarios. In the next step, the relationship between scenarios with social scenarios in Hungary 2025 are adapted and categorized. | Introducing interactive foresight concept and process Future study process has a multiple interactive nature based on integrated future study Utilizing online networking among stakeholders Considering the special conditions of Hungary, the results of this research is useful for our country |
Durst et al. (2015) [11] | Designing Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning system (RAHS) aimed at designing, executing, and testing a web-based strategic foresight system | German Federal Armed Forces | Initially, foresight general model includes four phases and, finally, IT-based foresight developed model is represented. | Web-based collective census and joint conclusions Using this model in three big international projects |
Rohrbeck et al. (2015) [24] | Providing corporate foresight mode | Â | Introducing five-phase model on future and determining possible barriers in each phase and their actors | Using environmental scanning mostly conducted by organizational gatekeepers A transparent and applied model Determining possible barriers in each phase and their actors |
Kononiuk and Glińska (2015) [19] | Establishing foresight in small companies | Case study in door and window industry at small companies in Poland | Providing a format based on Hiltonen’s corporate foresight model | Providing a simple and applied process model Explaining methods and stages of each phase Determining corporate foresight maturity at the outset |
Vishnevskiy et al. (2015) [38] | Conceiving foresight recent approaches and the importance of recognizing the relationship between foresight and roadmap to formulate corporate strategy and innovation management | Studying foresight status in over 40 projects and interviews with Russian companies in oil, gas and transportation within 5Â years | An eight-phase framework in two corporate future study steps to develop the system of priorities and roadmaps to realize priorities | Research duration and the number of studied firms Using an integrated roadmap as the final consequence of corporate foresight to devise a long-term development perspective which makes it possible to achieve a thorough insight in all levels and for all shareholders and stakeholders. |
Højland and Rohrbeck (2017) [16] | Studying the impact of corporate foresight activities in discovering new markets Categorizing business development activities in uncertain environments by using corporate foresight | Adapting development patterns of each company with proposed framework, attempts to extend such model in other industries/companies Three case studies in bottom of pyramid (BOP) markets | Providing a bi-dimensional model on corporate foresight; the dimensions of the proposed model include: foresight with such components as conception, discovery, exploration, and entry into international markets with creation of profitable products, creating a distribution chain and sustainable value, creating a market through joint creation and in-depth dialogues | Studying the impact of corporate foresight activities on discovering new markets and studying models to identify new markets Using a bi-dimensional model Very huge difference among samples (which improves findings generalizability) |