From: Using systems thinking to design actionable futures: a nuclear weapons example
Factor Sub-category | From | To | Resource Gap |
---|---|---|---|
F3 Weak Islamic faction | F4 Ineffective Islamic faction | ||
Focused military strikes on enemy leadership | 1 | 3 | 2 |
L2 Strong Loyalist | L1 Dominating Loyalists | ||
Provide military training to Loyalists | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Form coalition with US and India so as to leverage their military assets | 2 | 3 | 1 |
I5 No intervention | I1 Welcomed and effective intervention | ||
PR campaign that supports an international intervention | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Build a coalition for an intervention | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Focus international community on risk of unsecured nukes to garner support | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Lobby UN in support of intervention | 2 | 2 | 0 |
M3 Supported but weak militants | M1/3 Supported / not supported but weak militants | ||
Eliminate support links between Islamic Faction and Militants | 1 | 2 | 1 |
N2 Known and unsafe nuclear weapons | N1/3 Known or unknown and Safe nuclear weapons | ||
Use SF to locate nuclear weapons | 1 | 4 | 3 |
S3 Shaky internal stability | S2 Stable internal stability | ||
Deploy humanitarian forces to stabilise Pakistan | 2 | 2 | 0 |