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Table 7 Evaluating the resource gap for each option and their sub-ordinate tasks

From: Using systems thinking to design actionable futures: a nuclear weapons example

Factor Sub-category

From

To

Resource Gap

 

F3 Weak Islamic faction

F4 Ineffective Islamic faction

 

Focused military strikes on enemy leadership

1

3

2

 

L2 Strong Loyalist

L1 Dominating Loyalists

 

Provide military training to Loyalists

1

2

1

Form coalition with US and India so as to leverage their military assets

2

3

1

 

I5 No intervention

I1 Welcomed and effective intervention

 

PR campaign that supports an international intervention

2

3

1

Build a coalition for an intervention

2

4

2

Focus international community on risk of unsecured nukes to garner support

2

2

0

Lobby UN in support of intervention

2

2

0

 

M3 Supported but weak militants

M1/3 Supported / not supported but weak militants

 

Eliminate support links between Islamic Faction and Militants

1

2

1

 

N2 Known and unsafe nuclear weapons

N1/3 Known or unknown and Safe nuclear weapons

 

Use SF to locate nuclear weapons

1

4

3

 

S3 Shaky internal stability

S2 Stable internal stability

 

Deploy humanitarian forces to stabilise Pakistan

2

2

0