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Table 1 Variables developed through FAR and used in developing the scenarios

From: Using systems thinking to design actionable futures: a nuclear weapons example

Islamic Faction

Loyalists,

International Intervention,

Militants,

Nuclear Weapons

Internal Stability

F1 Dominating

L1 Dominating

I1 Welcomed and effective

M1 Not supported and weak

N1 Known and Safe

S1 Strong and Stable

F2 Strong

L2 Strong

I2 Welcomed but not effective

M2 Not supported and strong

N2 Known and unsafe

S2 Stable

F3 Weak

L3 Weak

I3 Not welcomed but effective

M3 Supported but weak

N3 Unknown and safe

S3 Shaky

F4 Ineffective

L4 Ineffective

I4 Not welcomed nor effective

M4 Supported and strong

N4 Unknown and unsafe

S4 Unstable

  

I5 No intervention

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