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Table 5 Rotated component matrix. Varimax rotation. (Note: Loadings below 0.3 have been excluded from the table)

From: Technopolis, shared resources or controlled mobility? A net-based Delphi-study to explore visions of future urban daily mobility in Norway

 

Components

 

1

2

3

Citizens will have to register all their travel, and will be charged if it exceeds a given limit for CO2 emissions per year.

0.745

  

A growing risk of criminality and terrorism will result in strong security arrangements at all the main public transport stations.

0.670

 

−0.309

Public transport operators will offer door-to-door transport services, forming part of an intermodal chain.

0.592

  

Public transport outside the big cities will be dynamic, based on the real-time needs of people living in the area, coordinated by mobile communication technologies.

0.492

  

Both petrol and diesel-driven cars will be forbidden in all city centres.

0.464

 

0.319

Development of a knowledge-based workforce and better infrastructure will make long-distance commuting between large cities much more common.

0.422

  

To a greater extent people will use their time on public transport to amusing themselves and communicating with friends, supported by mobile communication technology.

 

0.722

 

To a greater extent people will use their time on public transport to paid work supported by mobile communication technology.

 

0.712

 

Travellers in urban areas will receive automatic suggestions for alternative routes on smartphones based on real-time information and personal preferences.

 

0.610

 

Use of car-sharing apps to organise private trips will be as common as taxis are today.

 

0.375

 

Increased flexibility of working hours and peak-hour taxes will make work travel spread more through the day.

 

0.369

 

Growth in private car use will mean a demand for wider highways between the largest cities.

  

−0.708

Better coordination of bus, train and subway through transport hubs will increase the use of public transport facilities in urban areas.

  

0.658

The majority of households in the larger urban areas and adjacent municipalities will not own a private car, but rely instead on car-sharing arrangements.

0.463

 

0.575

City bikes – electric and ordinary – will be used on most personal trips in city centres.

0.384

 

0.391

A growing number of families will opt to live in urban city centres to get better access to work, schools and cultural facilities.