Table 4 Overall score for sub-themes
No. | Cat. | Projections | Mean | S.d. | Corr. | Mode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | TEK | Based on real-time information and personal preferences, travellers in urban areas will automatically receive suggestions for alternative routes on smartphones. | 4.4 | 0.8 | 3.6 | Very likely |
2 | TEK | To a greater extent, people will use their time on public transport to conduct paid work supported by mobile communication technology. | 3.8 | 1.0 | 4.2 | Somewhat likely |
3 | TEK | To a greater extent, people will use their time on public transport for amusement and for communicating with friends supported by mobile communication technology. | 4.3 | 0.8 | 2.9 | Very likely |
4 | TEK | Use of car-sharing apps to organise private trips will be as common as taxis are today. | 3.4 | 1.0 | 7.9 | Somewhat likely |
5 | TB | Increased flexibility in working hours and peak-hour taxes will mean work-related travel spread throughout the day. | 3.8 | 0.9 | 4 | Likely |
6 | TB | Better coordination of bus, train and subway through transport hubs will increase use of public transport facilities in urban areas. | 4.3 | 0.8 | 7.5 | Very likely |
7 | TB | A growing number of families will choose to live in urban city centres to get better access to work, schools and cultural facilities. | 3.2 | 0.9 | 6.8 | Somewhat likely |
8 | TB | Development of a knowledge-based workforce and better infrastructure will make long-distance commuting between large cities much more common. | 3.4 | 0.9 | 5.4 | Somewhat likely |
9 | IM | City bikes – electric and ordinary – will be used on most personal trips in city centres. | 2.6 | 0.9 | 5.7 | Somewhat likely |
10 | IM | The majority of households in large urban areas and adjacent municipalities will not own a private car, but instead rely on car-sharing arrangements. | 2.5 | 0.8 | 4.7 | Somewhat likely |
11 | IM | Public transport outside the big cities will be dynamic, based on the real-time needs of people living in the area, and coordinated by mobile communication technologies. | 3.1 | 0.9 | 9 | Somewhat likely |
12 | IM | Public transport operators will offer door-to-door transport services, where other transport modes are included. | 2.7 | 1.0 | 11.1 | Somewhat likely |
13 | PM | Growth in use of the private car will mean a demand for large highways between the largest cities. | 2.6 | 1.0 | 5.4 | Somewhat likely |
14 | PM | Petrol and diesel driven cars will be banned in all city centres. | 3.3 | 1.0 | 5.7 | Somewhat likely |
15 | PM | Citizens will have to register all travel and will be charged for exceeding a given limit of CO2 emissions per year. | 2.3 | 1.0 | 7.1 | Not likely |
16 | PM | A growing risk of criminality and terrorism will result in strict security arrangements at all main public transport stations. | 2.7 | 0.9 | 7.1 | Not likely |