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Table 1 Projections for public transport in Norwegian urban areas 2050

From: Technopolis, shared resources or controlled mobility? A net-based Delphi-study to explore visions of future urban daily mobility in Norway

No.

Cat.

Projections

1

TEK

Travellers in urban areas will automatically get suggestions on smartphones for alternative routes based on real-time information and personal preferences.

2

TEK

To a greater extent, people will use their time on public transport to conduct paid work supported by mobile communication technology.

3

TEK

To a greater extent, people will use their time on public transport for amusement and for communicating with friends supported by mobile communication technology.

4

TEK

Use of car-sharing apps to organise private trips will be as common as taxis are today.

5

TB

Increased flexibility in working hours and peak-hour taxes will ensure that all travel connected with work will be evenly distributed throughout the day.

6

TB

Better coordination of bus, train and subway through transport hubs will increase use of public transport facilities in urban areas.

7

TB

A growing number of families will prefer to live in urban city centres to get better access to work, schools and cultural facilities.

8

TB

Development of a knowledge-based workforce and better infrastructure will make long-distance commuting between large cities much more common.

9

IM

City bikes – electric and ordinary – will be used on most personal trips in city centres.

10

IM

The majority of households in large urban areas and adjacent municipalities will not own a private car, but instead rely on car-sharing arrangements.

11

IM

Public transport outside the big cities will be dynamic, based on the real-time needs of people living in the area, and coordinated by mobile communication technologies.

12

IM

Public transport operators will be offering door-to-door transport services.

13

PM

Growth in private car-use will lead to more highways being built between the largest cities.

14

PM

Petrol and diesel driven cars will be forbidden in all city centres.

15

PM

Citizens will have to register all their travel, and will be charged if exceeding an upper limit of CO2 emissions per year.

16

PM

A growing risk of criminality and terrorism will result in strict security arrangements at all main public transport stations.

  1. (TEK, Technology; TB, Travel behaviour and commuting; IM, Intermodality; PM, Policy measures)