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Table 3 Classification of Wild Cards by fullest impact and likelihood in 2040 or beyond

From: Wild cards in transport

Likelihood Impact very low—low medium high—very high
very high    5. Europe-wide traffic control
11. All-electric road transport
high 7. Flying cars, at last!
3. Cessation of EU-US relations
13. ICT abandonment
2. Energy abundance
4. Mass migration
9. Self-healing materials
12. Slow travel
14. Drastic decrease in passenger transport
8. Autonomous vehicles
11. Superfast ground transport
medium   1. Drastic decrease in freight transport 5. The emergence of Drones