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Table 3 Classification of Wild Cards by fullest impact and likelihood in 2040 or beyond

From: Wild cards in transport

Likelihood Impact

very low—low

medium

high—very high

very high

  

5. Europe-wide traffic control

11. All-electric road transport

high

7. Flying cars, at last!

3. Cessation of EU-US relations

13. ICT abandonment

2. Energy abundance

4. Mass migration

9. Self-healing materials

12. Slow travel

14. Drastic decrease in passenger transport

8. Autonomous vehicles

11. Superfast ground transport

medium

 

1. Drastic decrease in freight transport

5. The emergence of Drones