Table 1 Threats and Opportunities related to Wild Cards
From: Wild cards in transport
Threats and Opportunities | Wild Card | |
|---|---|---|
Opportunities | Harmonization of technical standards across Europe strengthens Europe as a united economy | 6. Europe-Wide Traffic-Control System |
Establishing safety technologies satisfies demanded accident reduction | 8. Autonomous Ground Vehicles Widely Used | |
Policies stimulate R&D and innovation | 9. Lightweight Self-Healing Materials Revolutionize Vehicles | |
Transport industry develops new solutions in the field of sustainable mobility | 10. All-Electric Road Transport, Based on Renewable Energy | |
Increased urban sprawl and congestion push the proliferation of mass transit systems, which represents a new market | 11. Superfast Ground Transport | |
The quality of the journey is in the foreground due to many interlocking solutions, which ensures the leading position of Europe due to its quality standards | 13. Massive Abandonment of ICT-based Systems | |
No corresponding opportunity | 5. The Emergence of Drones | |
No corresponding opportunity | 7. Flying cars, at last! | |
The traditional border among transport sub-sectors crumbles because companies develop new initiatives beyond their core business, which is the entry into new markets | No corresponding Wild Card | |
Europe strengthens quality and productivity of its products | No corresponding Wild Card | |
Market adaptability supports shift to emerging markets | No corresponding Wild Card | |
Threats | Different political interests of EU member countries have an inhibitory effect on European transport industry competitiveness | 1. Drastic Decrease in Freight Transport |
Future developments force development of new materials, information and communication technologies, future fuels and energy | 2. Energy Abundance | |
Growth of cities and urbanization of rural areas leads to overpopulation of cities and leads to mobility break down | 4. Mass Migration of People | |
Congestion pricing lowers market share of transport | 12. Slow Travel / Slow Logistics | |
Road pricing in urban areas reduces market share of vehicles in urban areas | 14. Drastic Decrease in Passenger Transport | |
No corresponding threat | 3. Total Cessation of Economic Relations between US and the EU | |
New perspectives and ways of business operation, post ownership-society and “mobility instead of transport” diminish markets | No corresponding Wild Card | |
Competitors in emerging markets displace EU transport industries leading position | No corresponding Wild Card | |
Loss of leading position if vertical and horizontal integration and creation of competitive European big players is not undertaken due to market adaption and competitiveness on the market | No corresponding Wild Card | |
SMOG/ Air pollutants caused by transport | No corresponding Wild Card | |
Restrictive parking regulations/ policy leads to diminution of commuting trips by car | No corresponding Wild Card |