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Table 6 Environmental trends and security outcomes (Cohen and Blanco 2014)

From: The future of counter-terrorism in Europe. The need to be lost in the correct direction

TRENDS DRIVERS INDICATORS E TIME OUTCOMES U
Growing resources demand Cultivation; new technologies; economic and population growth; urbanization degree; food, water and energy scarcity Prices of resources (oil, minerals, food); international conflicts ** M/L Conflicts; resources scarcity; food crisis; humanitarian crisis; migrations H
Climate change Determining the direct effect of climate change in natural disasters and other effects Climate effects: droughts, floods, tsunamis… ** S/M/L H
Pandemics Urbanisation; globalisation; travels Evolution of incidents * S/M/L H
Natural catastrophes Floods, volcanos, earthquakes, tsunamis Evolution of incidents * S/M/L H