Table 5 Technological trends and security outcomes (Cohen and Blanco 2014)
From: The future of counter-terrorism in Europe. The need to be lost in the correct direction
TRENDS | DRIVERS | INDICATORS | E | TIME | OUTCOMES | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Development of information and communication technologies | Internet and social media; internet of things; semantic web; cloud computing | Technological foresight; analysis of impact of new technologies in security | *** | S/M/L | Growing cyber-threats: cyber-terrorism, cyber-attacks, cyber-crime; critical infrastructures risks; espionage; intellectual property attacks; privacy; technological inequality | H |
Big Data and predictive systems | Internet and social media; internet of things; semantic web; cloud computing | Volume of information (internet, social media), variety, and velocity | *** | S/M/L | New opportunities to understand and study matters like terrorism. Privacy: terrorism and effects on liberties | H |
Technological development: means of transportation; nanotechnology; 3D printers, cyborgs, CCTV… | Access to technologies; economic cost; drones | Technological foresight; analysis of impact of new technologies in security | *** | S/M/L | Push and pull factors for terrorist use and for a counter-terrorism use. Dual use civil and military and possibility of access by terrorist groups. Gap between legislation and technology. Privacy | H |
Smart cities | Technologies; social and political change and trends; internet of things | Smart cities index | *** | S/M/L | Cyber threats; critical infrastructures targets | H |