Table 3 Economic trends and security outcomes (Cohen and Blanco 2014)
From: The future of counter-terrorism in Europe. The need to be lost in the correct direction
TRENDS | DRIVERS | INDICATORS | E | TIME | OUTCOMES | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Growing unemployment | Shortfall or slow employment creation; labour exploitation | Unemployment rate; youth unemployment rate | ** | S/M | Social unrest; inequality; populism and extremism; radicalization; ghettos and minorities integration; resurgence of leftist anti-globalisation ideologies | L |
Inequality inside states and between rich and poor countries | Disparities inside the EU; Unemployment; development; education; health | Income indexes; Gini index; income per capita; Human development index | ** | S/M | L | |
Economic and financial crisis | Lack of opportunities; reducing social benefits; unemployment; inequality | Gross Domestic Product (GDP); social budget evolution | *** | S/M | H | |
Decreasing global poverty | Developing countries | GDP; income per capita; Human Poverty Index; Multidimensional Poverty Index | ** | S/M/L | More opportunities | M |