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Table 2 Projections of the Delphi survey

From: Scenarios for the future of the European process industry - the case of the chemical industry

Projections

Short title

1. 2030: The uncertainty (i.e. the degree of complexity and dynamics) in the industry environment has increased.

Uncertainty

2. 2030: Rules and regulations within the industry have been tightened.

Rules and regulations

3. 2030: The value chain of the industry has fundamentally changed.

Value chain

4. 2030: The overall industry attractiveness has increased.

Industry attractiveness

5. 2030: Radical innovations have led to fundamental changes within the industry.

Radical innovations

6. 2030: The oil dependency of the European chemical industry has decreased significantly.

Oil dependency

7. 2030: All European production activities have been relocated to outside of the EU.

Production shift

8. 2030: Public pressure has made image a key value driver for chemical companies in the EU.

Value of image

9. 2030: Synthetic materials have drastically reduced the global need for the mining of metals (e.g. gold, iron, copper).

Synthetic materials use

10. 2030: High-performance materials are made completely out of recycled substances.

Recycled materials

11. 2030: The European chemical industry suffers from a dramatic shortage of qualified personnel.

Qualified personnel shortage

12. 2030: Scientific breakthroughs in the chemical industry have eradicated world hunger.

World hunger

13. 2030: Resource scarcity has led to a shift in the raw material mix used in the chemical industry.

Shift in raw material mix

14. 2030: Bio-based products have created a paradigm shift in chemical production.

Bio-based products

15. 2030: Sustainability has become a key corporate value of European chemical companies.

Value driver sustainability