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Table 3 Expert assessment of discrepancies and recommendations for response (St. 13)

From: Options for making responsive future strategy to foster sustainability transitions in the German agri-food sector: a Delphi-based approach

Discrepancies in innovations contributing to the online purchase of daily groceries (in Germany)

Reasons for higher probability

- Trend towards digitalization evident (e.g., increasing number of delivery services, subscription offers for food boxes, etc) and technical possibilities more advanced

 

- Consumers are becoming increasingly convenient (e.g., lack of time favours solutions that allow consumers to spend less time grocery shopping. Additionally, the demand for a broad and simple selection of products is increasing)

 

- Online grocery shopping enables individualized food offerings

 

- Opportunity for major distributors, resulting in strong market tends in the corresponding direction

 

- Smaller grocery stores (e.g., in rural areas) are disappearing and alternatives for grocery shopping are needed

Reasons for lower desirability

- Rik of market concentration: Larger market players are better equipped to cope with new demands (e.g., investment in equipment), squeezing out smaller market participants

 

- Larger market players can absorb the actual costs for transport, packaging and logistics, thus obscuring the true environmental costs

 

- More packaging waste and traffic

 

- Online grocery shopping decreases the human-food connection

 

- Difficult communication due to the elimination of customer contact

 

- Quality of food becomes untransparent

 

- Disappearance of traditional retail can negatively affect urban structures

 

- Smaller towns lose social infrastructure and options for value creation (e.g., online shops do not offer local jobs)

 

- Loss of regional and (small) farming structures

Options for "avoiding harm" with innovations contributing to the online purchase of daily groceries (in Germany)

Institutions,Structures & Procedures

- Provide best-practice examples for the establishment of comprehensive digital infrastructures (e.g., business models based on online purchasing channels for smaller retailers)

- Engage in political/societal debates for direct support for smaller retailers (e.g., to establish online purchasing platforms that include services for shared logistics and transport)

- Engage in political/societal debates for the establishment of tax arrangements and subsidies favoring CO2-neutral transport

- Engage in political/societal debates for stricter regulations regarding in favor of electric vehicles or other more climate-neutral transport and delivery concepts

- Engage in political/societal debates to broaden options for climate-neutral transport (e.g., rail transport)

- Engage in political/societal debates on the expansion of the transport network (e.g., autonomous public transport networks with connections for freight transport)

- Provide approaches for alternative deposit systems for transport (e.g., boxes instead of plastic bags)

- Engage in political/societal debates for improvements and regulatory interventions in regional logistics

- Cooperate with regional value chains (e.g., to organize central pick-up stations)

- Seek cooperations for the establishment of shorter transport routes

- Promote consumer participation (e.g., with positive narratives, which strengthens consumers´ interest in production)

- Involve small and medium-sized enterprises in food supply chains to establish trade associations (e.g., similar to vegetable boxes)

- Increase transparency about current agricultural value chains e.g., to strengthen consumers interest in production

- Create competencies for digital business models (e.g., for direct marketing)

- Commit towards improving the competencies of more traditional agri-food system actors (e.g., smaller retailers, farmers) in digital business models and fostering collaboration

- Elaborate alternatives for last-mile deliveries (e.g., cargo bikes)

- Use environmentally friendly packaging (e.g., focus on recycling and reusable packaging)

- Apply climate-friendly transport options

- Focus on regional products that can be offered and distributed locally