From: Farmers’ futures: an application of the Delphi method in the context of Finnish agriculture
Variable number | How likely or unlikely do you consider the following future pathways about Finnish agriculture to be? (1 = very unlikely, 2 = somewhat unlikely, 3 = Neither likely nor unlikely, 4 = somewhat likely, 5 = very likely) | Mean | Std. Dev |
---|---|---|---|
Var1 | Climate change will have a significant effect on agriculture in Finland | 3.59 | 0.926 |
Var2 | Farm size will continue to grow | 4.23 | 0.797 |
Var3 | Number of farms will decrease | 4.46 | 0.792 |
Var4 | Advances in technology will solve problems | 3.20 | 1.047 |
Var5 | Automatization will increase | 4.10 | 0.781 |
Var6 | Corporations will buy and farm agricultural land | 2.90 | 1.157 |
Var7 | Ownership of land and work will differentiate | 3.39 | 0.995 |
Var8 | Appreciation for Finnish food will increase | 3.64 | 1.033 |
Var9 | Domestic production considered highly sanitary will become a driver for exports | 3.76 | 1.038 |
Var10 | Finnish food will be exported | 3.75 | 0.958 |
Var11 | Politics will have a great influence on production | 4.28 | 0.818 |
Var12 | Nutrient recycling will become more common | 3.90 | 0.788 |
Var13 | Renewable energy will be used | 3.99 | 0.764 |
Var14 | Local food will become popular | 3.79 | 0.906 |
Var15 | Companies and cooperatives will replace family farms | 3.25 | 1.029 |
Var16 | Finnish production will decrease significantly | 3.11 | 1.109 |
Var17 | Farm activities will be highly optimized | 3.36 | 0.923 |
Var18 | Cultivated areas for barley and oats will remain as they are | 3.17 | 0.921 |
Var19 | Special crops will be cultivated more than currently | 3.68 | 0.863 |
Var20 | Organic farming will increase | 3.29 | 1.022 |
Var21 | Agriculture will remain as it is | 2.28 | 0.999 |
Var22 | Migration to the countryside will increase | 2.32 | 1.057 |
Var23 | Availability for agricultural land will get easier | 2.61 | 1.098 |
Var24 | Self-sufficiency of agricultural products in Finland will decrease | 3.51 | 1.078 |
Var25 | Innovations will be adopted | 4.01 | 0.796 |
Var26 | Yields will increase | 3.38 | 0.913 |
Var27 | Unproductive farming aiming to collect subsidies will increase | 3.23 | 1.108 |
Var28 | Part-time farming will increase | 3.74 | 1.064 |
Var29 | Costs of production will increase | 4.25 | 0.777 |
Var30 | Agricultural subsidies will become smaller | 4.09 | 0.984 |
Var31 | Agricultural subsidies will be brought to an end | 2.78 | 1.169 |
Var32 | Agricultural legislation will tighten | 3.92 | 0.937 |
Var33 | Small farms will preserve their vitality through specialization | 3.11 | 1.162 |
Var34 | Farmers’ workload will get lighter | 1.89 | 0.956 |